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Forecasting Changes in the European Payments Ecosystem
— Brazil Non-VBV cards on Steam,
— Partial authorizations on Razer Gold,
— Subscriptions with MIT payments.
But by 2027, these loopholes will disappear completely.
The reason is PSD3 (Payment Services Directive 3) and Open Finance —two regulatory megaprojects that will restructure the entire European payments ecosystem around transparency, identification, and trust.
In this article, we will analyze how PSD3 and Open Finance will change the rules of the game, why recent methods are being ruined, and how to adapt to the new reality.
PSD3 is the third generation of the EU Payment Services Directive, awaiting final approval by the European Commission in 2025, with full implementation by 2027.
It expands on PSD2 by adding three key layers:
1. The end of anonymous cards
2. Biometrics for all recurring payments
3. Real-time Transaction Monitoring
Open Finance is an evolution of Open Banking (PSD2) that provides access not only to accounts, but also to:
All this through a single API platform with mandatory eIDAS 2.0 authentication.
1. Cross-Account Correlation
2. Behavioral Baseline
3. Real-time Risk Scoring
1. Leaving the EU
2. Transition to legal models
3. Investment in knowledge
1. Political will
2. Technological readiness
3. Economic incentive
In the new world, anonymity = risk, and identification = freedom.
Stay informed. Stay adaptive.
And remember: in a world of regulation, knowledge is your greatest asset.
Introduction: The End of Anonymity
In 2026, carders still find narrow windows to operate in the EU:— Brazil Non-VBV cards on Steam,
— Partial authorizations on Razer Gold,
— Subscriptions with MIT payments.
But by 2027, these loopholes will disappear completely.
The reason is PSD3 (Payment Services Directive 3) and Open Finance —two regulatory megaprojects that will restructure the entire European payments ecosystem around transparency, identification, and trust.
In this article, we will analyze how PSD3 and Open Finance will change the rules of the game, why recent methods are being ruined, and how to adapt to the new reality.
Part 1: What is PSD3?
Technical definition
PSD3 is the third generation of the EU Payment Services Directive, awaiting final approval by the European Commission in 2025, with full implementation by 2027. It expands on PSD2 by adding three key layers:
- Universal Identification of Users (eIDAS 2.0),
- Mandatory biometric authentication,
- Advanced real-time transaction monitoring.
Key insight:
PSD3 turns every transaction into a verified event.
Part 2: How PSD3 Will Kill the Last Loopholes
Three blows to existing methods
1. The end of anonymous cards- Requirement: All cards must be linked to eIDAS 2.0 digital ID,
- Consequence: Brazil Non-VBV cards will not pass verification - no EU identifier.
2. Biometrics for all recurring payments
- Requirement: Even MIT payments (automatic debits) require periodic biometric verification.
- Consequence: Subscriptions no longer bypass 3DS - Face ID or fingerprint required every 90 days.
3. Real-time Transaction Monitoring
- Requirement: All banks are required to use AI engines (Forter, Sift) to analyze each transaction,
- Consequence: Partial Authorization and other "gray" methods are immediately blocked.
Forecast (2027):
- Carding success rate in the EU: <35%
- Time to lock: <60 seconds
Part 3: What is Open Finance?
Expansion of Open Banking
Open Finance is an evolution of Open Banking (PSD2) that provides access not only to accounts, but also to:- Investment portfolios,
- Credit histories,
- Insurance policies,
- Pension accounts.
All this through a single API platform with mandatory eIDAS 2.0 authentication.
Truth:
Open Finance = Complete financial transparency.
Part 4: How Open Finance Will Strengthen Control
Three levels of surveillance
1. Cross-Account Correlation- The system links all your financial assets into one profile,
- Attempt to use a card without linking it to an EU account → instant flag.
2. Behavioral Baseline
- AI builds a behavioral profile of all your financial actions,
- Any deviation (e.g. Steam purchase at 3am) → manual check.
3. Real-time Risk Scoring
- Each transaction is assessed by 100+ parameters in real time,
- Fraud score is updated every 5 seconds.
Example:
Trying to buy Steam Wallet in Germany with a Brazil card →
- No eIDAS ID → refusal,
- No history in EU bank → flag,
- Time 3:00 → manual check.
Part 5: Implementation Timeline (2025–2027)
| Year | Stage | Consequences |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | PSD3 Adoption, eIDAS 2.0 Pilots Launch | Mandatory verification for new accounts |
| 2026 | Mandatory implementation of eIDAS 2.0 for all banks | Brazil cards stop working in the EU |
| 2027 | Full implementation of PSD3 + Open Finance | All transactions are biometrically verified. |
Critical date: January 1, 2027 – end of all “grey” methods in the EU.
Part 6: How to Adapt to the New Reality
Transition Strategy
1. Leaving the EU- Focus on the USA, Canada, Latin America,
- These regions are 2-3 years behind in regulation.
2. Transition to legal models
- Using proven MOTO businesses in the UAE/Georgia,
- Working with real clients and consents.
3. Investment in knowledge
- Study of PCI DSS, PSD3, eIDAS 2.0,
- Transition to legal cybersecurity (fraud analyst, pentester).
Alternative:
Earn $5K–$10K/month through legal e-commerce or bug bounty — risk-free.
Part 7: Why Resistance is Futile
Three reasons for inevitability
1. Political will- The EU views financial security as a key element of sovereignty,
- PSD3 is supported by all 27 countries.
2. Technological readiness
- Cloudflare, Forter, Sift are already integrating the eIDAS 2.0 API.
- Banks are testing biometric MIT payments.
3. Economic incentive
- Reducing fraud losses by 30–40% by 2027,
- This is beneficial for everyone involved - except the scammers.
The truth:
PSD3 is not a regulation. It's a new security standard.
Conclusion: Transparency is the future
PSD3 and Open Finance won't just "close loopholes". They will reimagine the entire concept of trust in finance.In the new world, anonymity = risk, and identification = freedom.
Final thought:
True security lies not in concealment, but in compliance.
Because in the PSD3 world, every transaction is a digital passport.
Stay informed. Stay adaptive.
And remember: in a world of regulation, knowledge is your greatest asset.
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