Fewer rules, more risks: Trump's new cyber paradigm

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How will the redistribution of influence in the field of digital control end?

Donald Trump's return to the presidency of the United States promises fundamental changes in the field of cybersecurity. His administration plans to curtail many initiatives launched under Joe Biden, including tightening rules for critical infrastructure, restrictions on spyware and control over artificial intelligence. Instead, the emphasis will be on pro-business and aggressive cyber policies against China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea.

The main step will be to abandon new regulations for industries such as healthcare and water supply, despite their vulnerability to cyberattacks. According to Brian Harrell, former director of infrastructure security at CISA, Trump will focus on reducing the regulatory burden that businesses believe hinders development.

CISA's work to combat disinformation will also come under attack. Trump has already stated that he plans to eliminate the "toxic censorship industry" supported by Biden. Probably, the remaining initiatives of the agency in this area will be curtailed.

In the field of artificial intelligence, Trump will abolish requirements to control the training of models and fight discrimination. According to Nick Reese, director of technology policy, Biden's executive order on AI is likely to be revised towards minimizing regulation.

Spy technologies, in turn, will get a "second wind". Software companies like NSO Group are likely to find support in the new administration, despite criticism of their tools for human rights abuses. This is especially true for countries with close ties to Trump, such as Saudi Arabia and the UAE.

Biden's business initiatives requiring technology companies to improve the cybersecurity of their products will also lose relevance. The "Secure by Design" initiative, according to experts, will remain at the level of rhetoric.

However, the Trump administration may intensify military cyber operations while continuing Biden's efforts in this area. An increase in the frequency of attacks on foreign hackers and a tougher approach to China are expected, including new restrictions on Chinese technology.

The changes will also affect the regulation of reporting on cyber incidents for critical infrastructure. The rules proposed by CISA may be revised to reduce the burden on business.

Trump's return promises a significant overhaul of U.S. cyber policy: minimizing regulation, supporting business, and focusing on protecting key industries. However, such measures raise concerns that loosening controls will create more risks for the country's critical infrastructure.

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