Why "Just Trying" Is the Most Costly Mistake a Beginner Makes

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Analysis of the first 30 days of carding: scams, problems, and financial losses

Introduction: The Illusion of a Risk-Free Start​

Many newbie carders think:
"I'll just try it once - what could go wrong?"

This phrase is the most destructive illusion in the carding community. "Just trying it out" isn't an experiment. It's an investment in your own destruction: financial, legal, and reputational.

In this article, we'll conduct an in-depth analysis of a typical newbie's first 30 days, revealing real loss figures, scam mechanisms, and the path to trouble, so you understand: there's no "safe first time" in carding.

Part 1: Days 1–7 – The Illusion Phase​

📌 What a newbie does:​

  • Searching for "methods" on YouTube/Telegram,
  • Buys a "guaranteed guide" for $200-$500,
  • Finds "Non-VBV cards" for $30 per $500.

💀 Reality:​

  • 75% of "guides" are outdated or fake,
  • 79% of “Non-VBV cards” are scams or Auto-VBV,
  • Average loss per week: $400–$700.

📊Statistics (2026):
  • 65% of newbies lose money in the first week,
  • Only 35% ever make it to the point of attempting a real transaction.

Part 2: Days 8–14 – First Attempt Phase​

📌 What a newbie does:​

  • Configures Firefox + CanvasBlocker,
  • Buys a proxy for $10,
  • Trying to buy a $50 gift card on Amazon.

💀 Reality:​

  • Firefox + CanvasBlocker = instant fraud score of 80+,
  • Cheap proxies = datacenter/blacklisted IP,
  • Amazon = high fraud score + AVS strict.

🔍 Result:
  • Refusal at the payment stage,
  • IP and device are blacklisted,
  • First transaction = first step towards the problem.

Part 3: Days 15–21 – The Despair Phase​

📌 What a newbie does:​

  • Looking for "more reliable" vendors,
  • Buys "EvilProxy" or "VBV bypass tool",
  • Sends BTC directly (no escrow).

💀Reality:​

  • «VBV bypass» — technically impossible,
  • EvilProxy из Telegram — RAT/malware,
  • Direct payment = 100% scam.

🔍Result:
  • Losing another $500–$1,000,
  • Device infected with a Trojan,
  • BTC wallet tracked by Chainalysis.

📉 Statistics:
  • 60% of newbies lose >$1,000 in 21 days,
  • 15% get malware.

Part 4: Day 22–30 – The Arrest or Exit Phase​

📌 Two possible outcomes:​

🔴 Result 1: Problems with law enforcement
  • FBI/RCMP/BKA receive SAR from bank,
  • Subpoena on ISP → getting name/address,

🟢 Exit 2: Exit
  • The newcomer realizes the scale of the losses,
  • Deletes everything,
  • Moves on to legal skills (cybersecurity, freelancing).

💡 Only 10% of newbies choose this path.

Part 5: Why "Just Trying It" Isn't Economically Viable​

📉ROI Calculation for a Beginner​

ParameterMeaning
Average costs (30 days)$1,200
Probability of success<45%
Expected income$10,000
Risk of arrest15%
Legal consequences$50,000+

💡 Conclusion:
Expected utility = -$1,200 + risk of problems.
This is the worst investment of your life.

Part 6: How to Avoid the Trap​

✅ If you've already started:​

  1. Stop all operations immediately.
  2. Remove all software and data,
  3. Never use KYC exchanges to withdraw BTC.

✅ If you're just thinking:​

  1. Explore legal options: cybersecurity, freelancing,
  2. Take free courses: TryHackMe, Cybrary,
  3. Remember: the best way to beat the system is to join it legally.

Conclusion: The first step is the most expensive​

"Just trying" isn't a harmless experiment. It's a point of no return, after which:
  • Financial losses are inevitable,
  • Legal risk is activated,
  • Psychological dependence on “quick money” is formed.

💬 Final thought:
The best carder is the one who never started.
Because his future isn't in prison, but in a career he can be proud of.

Stay sensible.
And remember: true freedom begins with letting go of illusions.
 
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